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DTN Midday Grain Comments 03/27 12:33
Corn Futures Lower at Midday; Soybeans Higher; Wheat Flat-Lower
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
14 to 15 cents higher; wheat futures are flat to 6 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
14 to 15 cents higher; wheat futures are flat to 6 cents lower. The U.S. stock
market is mixed with the S&P 9 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index is 25
points lower. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is mixed with
crude .25 higher and natural gas off .03. Livestock trade is mostly lower.
Precious metals are mixed with gold up 45.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower with trade grinding closer to the low
end of the recent range with softer spread action and position-squaring as we
head toward Monday. Ethanol margins look to remain rangebound with blenders
getting a smaller boost from seasonal demand starting to pick up. Weekly export
sales remained solid at 1.040 million metric tons (mmt). Basis is expected to
keep a sideways-to-firmer trend into April with soft futures action adding
support along with the start of spring fieldwork. Weather looks to keep
double-crop establishment in Brazil progressing along. On the May chart, the
20-day moving average at $4.61 is resistance with the recent low at $4.42 1/4
as support.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 14 to 15 cents higher with oil turning sharply higher on
biodiesel blending optimism to lead the product complex Thursday morning as we
press through nearby resistance. Meal is 1.00 to 2.00 higher and oil 150 to 160
points higher. South American weather looks to remain cooperative for the
finish to the growing season as harvest moves forward. Weekly export sales
remained soft at 338,500 metric tons (mt) old-crop; 165,600 of meal; and 44,500
of oil. Basis is expected to remain flat into the end of the month. On the May
chart, trade has resistance at the 20-day moving average at $10.11, which we
are above at midday, with the recent low at $9.91 as support.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are flat to 6 cents lower with Minneapolis trade leading at
midday as we work to consolidate the lower end of the range with early buying
fading again. Normal to slightly above temps for the Plains look to continue
while sandwiched around a front passing this weekend for the eastern Plains and
better rains expected the second week. MATIF wheat is sharply lower again as
the dollar fades after early strength. Weekly export sales were soft at 100,300
mt old-crop and 11,200 mt of new. On the KC May chart, resistance is the 20-day
moving average at $5.76, after we faded below it earlier in the week, with the
next level of support the Lower Bollinger Band at $5.47.
**
Join us for DTN's webinar at 12:30 p.m. CDT on Monday, March 31, as we
discuss USDA's estimates of 2025 acreage and quarterly grain stocks, and what
they may imply for the market moving forward. Questions are welcome, and
registrants will receive a replay link for viewing at their convenience.
Register here for Monday's Prospective Plantings and Grain Stocks reports
webinar: https://ag.dtn.com/ag-25-grain-stocks-wbr-registration .
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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